Personal Data

Full name

Clara Maria Henrique Cordeiro

Publishing name

Clara Cordeiro

Birthday

1968-06-12T00:00:00

Academic Degrees

DOUTORAMENTO(0)

Degree date

2011

Final grade

Muito Bom com Distinção

Degree granting institution

Universidade Técnica de Lisboa

School / College / Campus

Instituto Superior de Agronomia

Thesis title

Métodos de reamostragem em modelos de previsão

Supervisor

Professora Maria Manuela Neves Figueiredo

Co-supervisor

-

Scientific area

Matemática e Estatística

MESTRADO(2)

Degree date

2003

Final grade

Bom

Degree granting institution

Universidade Nova de Lisboa

School / College / Campus

Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia

Thesis title

Modelos de Previsão em Séries Temporais. Aplicação da Metodologia Bootstrap.

Supervisor

Maria Manuela Neves Figueiredo

Co-supervisor

-

Scientific area

Estatística e Optimização

LICENCIATURA(5)

Degree date

1993

Final grade

Bom

Degree granting institution

Universidade de Lisboa

School / College / Campus

Faculdade de Ciências

Thesis title

"n/a"

Supervisor

"n/a"

Co-supervisor

"n/a"

Scientific area

"n/a"

Profissional activity

Period Position Institution
02-12-1997 - 15-10-2000 Assistente do 1ª Triénio Escola Superior de Comunicação Social, Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa
01-10-1994 - 15-10-2000 Assistente Estagiário CEUL- Cooperativa de Ensino Universidade Lusíada
23-12-2011 - Professor Auxiliar do Departamento de Matemática, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia. Universidade do Algarve
16-10-2000 - 28-07-2003 Assistente Convidado do Departamento de Matemática, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia. Universidade Algarve
29-07-2003 - 22-02-2011 Assistente do Departamento de Matemática, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia. Universidade Algarve

Area of scientific activity

Area of scientific activity

Forecasting time series, with one seasonal component, using the exponential smoothing methods and the bootstrap technique.
A new algorithm was proposed, Boot.EXPOS, in order to obtain point forecasts and forecast intervals.
Since then, this automatic procedure has competed with other automatic procedures and with impressive results.
Programming with R.

Specialization domain

Time series, Exponential smoothing methods and bootstrap.

Current main scientific area

Exponential smoothing models with complex seasonality; Fibonacci series.

Other scientific activities

Statistics applied at health sciences.

Experience as scientific advisor

Orientação de Estágio
2003/2004- Trabalho científico "Quem joga jogos de computador" de Ana Constantino e Natália Luís para conclusão da Licenciatura em Matemática, Universidade do Algarve.

Participations in R&D projects

2013- EULAR: Supported Health Professionals Research. Patient self-reported quality of osteoarthritis care - comparing cross-national data from Denmark, UK, Portugal and Norway (2013-2014). Convenor: Nina Osteras, Norway.

2013 - European Commission: Commitment to the European Innovation Partnership on Active and Healthy Ageing
1)Pharmacological Exercise and Nutricional Approach to type 2 Diabetes in Elderly (PhENA Dia)
2)Pharmacological Exercise and Nutricional Approach to Osteoarthritis in Elderly (PhENA OA),
3)The Survey of Health and Ageing in Region of Algarve (SHARA).

2008 - Member of the project EXTREMA PTDC/MAT/10173672008.

Awards

Year Award Awarding entity
2011 Distinção Doutoramento, ISA, UTL
2009 Travel Award International Institute of Forecasters
2008 Travel Award International Institute of Forecasters

Publications

Outras publicações

  • 2011- M.Neves e C.Cordeiro, "Computational intensive methods for prediction and imputation in time series analysis", Discussiones Matematicae Probability and Statistics 31(1), 121-139.
    2011- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Exponential Smoothing Methods improved by Bootstrap", Proceedings of the 31th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2011).
    2010- M. Neves e C. Cordeiro, "Exponencial smoothing and resampling techniques in time series prediction", Discussiones Matematicae Probability and Statistics 30 (1), 87-101.
    2010- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Boot.EXPOS in NNGC competition", Proceedings of the 30th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2010).
    2009- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Bootstrapping Expos Methods", Proceedings of 29th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2009).
    2008- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Boot-EXPOS: a mix procedure", Proceedings of 28th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2008).
    2005- Alves, A., Cordeiro, C., Neves, M. e Lima, A. "O conceito de cientista em diferentes níveis de ensino", Boletim da Sociedade Portuguesa de Química, n. 98, 19-20.

Artigos em revistas de circulação internacional com arbitragem científica

  • 2013- M. Rosário Ramos e Clara Cordeiro, "Trend Tests in Time Series with Missing Values: a Case Study with Imputation", AIP Conference Proceedings of the 11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics (ICNAAM 2013), Vol. 1558 Issue 1, 1909-1912.
    2013- Marita Dionísio, Clara Cordeiro, Carmen Remuñán-López, Begoña Seijo, Ana M Rosa da Costa, Ana Grenha, "Pullulan-based nanoparticles as carriers for transmucosal protein delivery'", European Journal of Pharmaceutical Sciences 50, 102-113.
    2013- P.C. Goela, J. Icely, S. Cristina, A. Newton, G. Moore and C. Cordeiro, "Specific absorption coefficient of phytoplankton off the Southwest coast of the Iberian Peninsula: A contribution to algorithm development for ocean colour remote sensing", Continental Shelf Research 52, 119-132.

    2012- Cordeiro, C. e Neves, M., "How bootstrap can help in forecasting time series with more than one seasonal pattern", AIP Conference Proceedings of the 10th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics (ICNAAM 2012), Vol. 1479 Issue 1, 1712-1715.

    2010- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Boot.EXPOS in NNGC competition", Proceedings of the IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence (WCCI 2010), 1135-1141.

    2009- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Forecasting time series with Boot.EXPOS procedure", REVSTAT Statistical Journal Volume 7, No. 2, 135-149.

Publicações em actas de encontros científicos

  • 2008- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Bootstrap and exponential smoothing working together in forecasting time series", Proceedings in Computational Statistics (CompStat2008). Paula Brito (Editor), Physica-Verlag, 891-899 CD-ROM.
    2007- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Bootstrap prediction intervals: a case study", Proceedings in the 22th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling (IWSM 2007). Joan del Castillo, Anna Espinal and Pere Puig (Eds.), Springer-Verlag, 191-194.
    2007- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Resampling techniques in time series prediction: a look at some accuracy measures", Proceedings of the 56th International Statistical Institute (ISI 2007). M. I. Gomes, D. Pestana e P. Silva (Eds.), Springer-Verlag, CD-ROM.
    2006- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "The bootstrap methodology in time series forecasting", Proceedings in Computational Statistics (CompStat2006). J. Black e A. White (Eds.), Physica-Verlag, 1067-1073.
    2005- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Comparação de várias abordagens da metodologia bootstrap na previsão em séries temporais". In Estatística Jubilar (Carlos A. Braumann et al. eds.). Actas do XII Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (SPE), 185-193.
    2005- C. Cordeiro, A. Machás e M. Neves, "Applying bootstrap and structural equation models to a customer satisfaction model on mobile telecommunications sector", Proceedings of the PLS 2005 International Symposium. T. Aluja, J. Casanovas, V. Esposito Vinzi, A.Morineau and M. Tenenhaus (Eds.), SPAD, 323-329.
    2004- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Series temporais e modelos de previsão. Aplicação da metodologia Boostrap". In Estatística com Acaso e Necessidade (Paulo Rodrigues et al. eds.). Actas do XI Congresso Anual da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (SPE), 153-164.

Capítulos de livros

  • C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Forecast intervals with Boot.EXPOS". New Advances in Statistical Modeling and Applications. Selected Papers of SPE 2011. António Pacheco, M. Rosário de Oliveira and Rui Santos (Eds.). Springer. Accepted for publication.

    2013- C. Cordeiro e M. Neves, "Predicting and treating Missing Data with Boot.EXPOS".Advances in Regression, Survival Analysis, Extremes Values, Markov Processes and Other Statistical Applications. Studies in Theoretical amd Applied Statistics. Selected Papers of the Statistical Societies. Lita da Silva, J., Caeiro, F., Natário, I. and Braumann, C.A. (Eds.), 131-138. Springer.

    2010- Cordeiro, C., Machás, A. e Neves, M., "A case study of a customer satisfaction problem: bootstrap and imputation techniques". Handbook of Partial Least Squares. Concepts, Methods and Applications in Marketing and Related Fields. Series: Springer Handbooks of Computational Statistics. Vinzi Esposito, Chin, Henseler, Wang (Eds.). ISBN: 978-3-540-32825-4, 279--287.

Teses

  • 2011-C. Cordeiro, "Métodos de Reamostragem em Modelos de Previsão", tese de doutoramento sob orientação da Professora Doutora Manuela Neves.
    2003- C. Cordeiro, "Modelos de Previsão em Séries Temporais. Aplicação da metodologia Bootstrap", tese de mestrado sob orientação da Professora Doutora Manuela Neves.
    1993- C. Cordeiro, "Worst Case Analysis of the Economic Lot Sizing Problem", tese para conclusão da licenciatura, sob orientação do Prof. Albert Wagelmans e Prof. Nanda Piersma.

Communications

Comunicações em painel ("poster")

2008- Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves, "One step ahead in bootstrap and exponential smoothing methods'", Recent Advances in Time Series Analysis (RATS 2008), Protaras, Chipre, 8 a 11 de Junho.

2007- Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves, "Bootstrap prediction intervals: a case-study", 22th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling (IWSM 2007), Barcelona, Espanha, 2 a 6 de Julho.

2006- Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves, "Missing Data, PLS and Bootstrap: A Magical Recipe?'", UseR! 2006, Viena, Áustria, 15 a 17 de Junho.

2005- Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves, "The Bootstrap Methodology in Time Series Forecasting: a Survey of Some Approaches", Statistics for Dependent Data (STATDEP 2005), Paris, França, 26 a 29 Janeiro.

Outras comunicações orais

Congressos Nacionais
2011- Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Intervalos de previsão usando o procedimento Boot.EXPOS", XIX Congresso Anual da SPE, 28 Setembro a 1 Outubro, Nazaré.
2009- Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves,"Predicting and Treating Missing Data with Boot.EXPOS", XVII Congresso Anual da SPE, 30 Setembro a 3 Outubro, Sesimbra.
2004- Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves,"Modelos de previsão: Comparação de várias abordagens da metodologia Bootstrap", XII Congresso Anual da SPE, 29 Setembro a 1 Outubro, Évora.
2003- Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves,"Séries temporais e modelos de previsão. Aplicação da metodologia Bootstrap'', XI Congresso Anual da SPE, 24 a 27 de Setembro, Faro.

Conferências Internacionais
2013- Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "A bootstrap contribution in forecasting", 6th International Conference of the ERCIM Working Group on Computational and Methodological Statistics, Senate House, University of London, UK, 14 a 16 Dezembro.
2013-M. Rosário Ramos (Speaker) e Clara Cordeiro, "Trend tests in time series with missing values: A case study with imputation", 11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics (ICNAAM 2013), Rhodes, Greece, 21-27 Setembro.
2013-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Resampling towards the future", 26th European Conference on Operational Research (EURO 2013), Roma, Itália, 2 a 5 de Julho.

2012- Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "How bootstrap can help in forecasting time series with more than one seasonal pattern", 10th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics (ICNAAM 2012), Kos, Grécia, 19 a 25 de Setembro.

2011-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Exponential Smoothing Methods improved by Bootstrap", 31th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2011), Praga, República Checa, 26 a 29 de Junho.

2010-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Boot.EXPOS in NNGC competition", World Congress on Computational Intelligence intelligence (WCCI10), 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, em Barcelona, Espanha, 18 a 23 de Julho.
2010-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Using Boot.EXPOS in NNGC competition", 30th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2010), San Diego, Estados Unidos da América, 20 a 23 de Junho.

2009-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Bootstrapping Expos Methods", 29th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2009), Hong Kong, China, 21 a 24 de Junho.

2008-Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves (Speaker), "Bootstrap and exponential smoothing working together in forecasting time series", International Conference on Computational Statistics (CompStat2008), Porto, Portugal, 25 a 30 de Agosto.
2008-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Forecasting M3 competition data: another approach", Workshop on Nonparametric Inference (WNI 2008), Coimbra, Portugal,de 26 a 28 de Junho.
2008-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Boot-EXPOS: a mix procedure", 28th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2008), Nice, França, de 22 a 25 de Junho.

2007-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Resampling techniques in time series prediction: a look at accuracy measures", 56th International Statistical Institute (ISI 2007), Lisboa, Portugal, 22 a 29 de Agosto.

2006-Alexandra Machás (Speaker) e Clara Cordeiro, "The application of PLS, Bootstrap and Time Series methods to infer the efficiency of Marketing and Communication activity", International Conference on Computational Statistics (CompStat2006), 17th Conference of IASC-ERS, Roma, Itália, 28 de Agosto a 1 de Setembro.
2006-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "The bootstrap methodology in time series forecasting", International Conference on Computational Statistics (CompStat2006), 17th Conference of IASC-ERS, Roma, Itália, 28 de Agosto a 1 de Setembro.
2006-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker), Alexandra Machás e Manuela Neves, "Missing Data, PLS and Bootstrap: A Magical Recipe?", UseR! 2006, Viena, Áustria, 15 a 17 de Junho.

2005-Clara Cordeiro, Alexandra Machás (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Applying Bootstrap and Structural Equation Models to a Customer Satisfaction Model on Mobile Telecommunications sector", 4th International Symposium on PLS and Related Method, Barcelona, Espanha, 7 a 9 de Setembro.

2004-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Use R for predicting air traffic", UseR! 2004, Viena, Áustria, 20 a 22 de Maio.

Comunicações orais por convite

2013-Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves (Speaker), "Statistical Modeling and Forecasting in Time Series Extremes", 7th Workshop on Statistics, Mathematics and Computation: Methods and Applications, Polytechnic Institute of Tomar, Tomar, Portugal, 28-29 May.

2012-Clara Cordeiro (Speaker) e Manuela Neves, "Boot.EXPOS: Strength and Sensibility'', 25th European Conference on Operational Research (EURO 2012), Vilnius, Lituânia, 8 a 11 de Julho.

2011- Clara Cordeiro e Manuela Neves (Speaker), "Computational intensive methods for prediction and imputational in time series", 5th Workshop on Statistics, Mathematics and Computation: Methods and Applications, Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, July 11-12.